It's still all about Sandy!
We have been discussing the impacts of the storm from Sandy over the last several days and while some of the details of the storm have changed slightly, I think we have held onto the core idea. That idea, of course, is that this storm is going to cause (and already has) several problems.
The storm is still well off shore and will continue on a northward path through the morning hours then make a sharper turn to the west later this morning into the afternoon. That system then releases to the east and the western system takes over dragging the storm to the west this afternoon. As you can see from the storm maps the related impacts from this system will be very bad.
Rain amounts will range from 2-4 inches around the tristate with locally higher amounts. The storm surge will have the highest impact with a range of 5-10 feet across the area from northern New Jersey to southern Long Island. This will likely cause severe damage for the coastal areas with just water damage and flooding.
Now take into account the winds associated with this storm and we'll add onto the problems with heavy damage to trees and power lines. At the height of the storm we are expecting sustained winds near hurricane force (74 mph) along the coast from Atlantic City to around Islip. The rest of the Tri-state will have at least tropical storm-force winds (39 mph). Top wind gusts will range from 60-80 mph with some coastal locations having gusts over 80 mph. The worst of the storm will run from around noon today up until about midnight, then conditions improve slowly after midnight.
By tomorrow the storm will have been inland for nearly 12 hours and the pressure should rise very quickly late tonight and through the day. Winds will still be strong from the south or southeast. Coastal areas could still have some beach issues as a result of this, but all-in-all the worst of it will have passed. Still plenty of rain around for the day and some wind gusts will be 40-45 mph, mainly in the morning hours.
On Wednesday there will be another shower or two around, but we'll get into the westerlies and this should limit the amount of shower activity that can occur, besides I think the atmosphere will have rained itself out by now.
With the overall trough still over the region on Thursday there will be another shower around, but we are also in the westerlies which should limit the rainfall in the region and allow for clean-up operations to continue generally unencumbered.
Finally we'll look at a dry day on Friday with largely a dry northwesterly flow. Though we are still in the midst of a trough, so it may be worth mentioning a shower in the area. Even on Saturday the overall trough position lies to the west. We'll call this a dry day for now though. On Sunday high pressure finally builds into the east and that looks like a much nicer day.